Seasonal Strategy’s quarterly newsletter

Click on dates to download PDFs
Current issue:
FALL 2022
- Don’t fight the Fed. It wants asset prices lower.
- Inflation looks scary. TIPS iinvestors don’t think so.
- Social Security: Delying makes dollars — and sense

Archive of past 12 issues:
SUMMER 2022
- The Fed is behind the curve. Hopelesslely far behind.
- Private credit a safe haven and effective diversifier
- A view on the Fed‘s resolve
SPRING 2022
- An ocean of risk
- Berkshire and the lifeboat mentality
WINTER 2022
- 2022: Valuation is destiny
- Effective altruism: How to give
- Effective altruism: Where to give
FALL 2021
- Evergrande: Why it matters
- Investors (and even advisers) have absurd expections for US stocks
- House prices have risen a lot. They remain reasonable.
SUMMER 2021
- Private markets and the Groucho Effect
- Two funds for challenging times
SPRING 2021
- The other regime change
- Inflation not rising yet. Powell/Yellen not concerned. Bond market is.
- Building an inflation-friendly portfolio
WINTER 2021
- The blinding light at the end of the tunnel
- SPAC arbitrage: A conservtive strategy in a crazy market
- SECURE Act 2.0 should pass in 2021, improve retirement savings
FALL 2020
- Markets and the Election: 4 things to know (that most people don’t)
- “If Biden is President, will my taxes go up?”
SUMMER 2020
- Selloff and rally dangerously concentrating wealth
- Enter the newbie
SPRING 2020
- A pandemic ravages lungs and portfolios
- Legacy Subprime should survive the crisis, but with at least one casualty
- Rays of sunshine
WINTER 2020
- The 2020s are starting much like the 2000s
- The IRS catches up to longer life expectancies…
- …and Congress, after some dallying, joins in.
FALL 2019
- Only three drivers of stock prices
- A bad idea rich people love (and alternatives)
The Conservative Strategist has been continuously published quarterly for 30 years. Select older issues are available upon request.