Seasonal Strategy’s quarterly newsletter

Seasonal Strategy’s quarterly newsletter

The Conservative Strategist

Click on dates to download PDFs

Current issue:

SUMMER 2022

  • The Fed is behind the curve. Hopelesslely far behind.
  • Private credit a safe haven and effective diversifier
  • A view on the Fed‘s resolve
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Archive of past 12 issues:

SPRING 2022

  • An ocean of risk
  • Berkshire and the lifeboat mentality

WINTER 2022

  • 2022: Valuation is destiny
  • Effective altruism: How to give
  • Effective altruism: Where to give

FALL 2021

  • Evergrande: Why it matters
  • Investors (and even advisers) have absurd expections for US stocks
  • House prices have risen a lot. They remain reasonable.

SUMMER 2021

  • Private markets and the Groucho Effect
  • Two funds for challenging times

SPRING 2021

  • The other regime change

  • Inflation not rising yet. Powell/Yellen not concerned. Bond market is.

  • Building an inflation-friendly portfolio

WINTER 2021

  • The blinding light at the end of the tunnel
  • SPAC arbitrage: A conservtive strategy in a crazy market
  • SECURE Act 2.0 should pass in 2021, improve retirement savings

FALL 2020

  • Markets and the Election: 4 things to know (that most people don’t)
  • “If Biden is President, will my taxes go up?”

SUMMER 2020

  • Selloff and rally dangerously concentrating wealth
  • Enter the newbie

SPRING 2020

  • A pandemic ravages lungs and portfolios
  • Legacy Subprime should survive the crisis, but with at least one casualty
  • Rays of sunshine

WINTER 2020

  • The 2020s are starting much like the 2000s
  • The IRS catches up to longer life expectancies…
  • …and Congress, after some dallying, joins in.

FALL 2019

  • Only three drivers of stock prices
  • A bad idea rich people love (and alternatives)

SUMMER 2019

  • WHOA: 4 reasons retiree portfolios should trot, not gallop
  • Is anything still cheap? Yes. Emerging markets value stocks.

The Conservative Strategist has been continuously published quarterly for 30 years. Select older issues are available upon request.